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BACK TO LITERATURE,ESSAYS,POLITICS
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Global Warming (GW) is doubtless one of the most important,
critical problems the mankind is facing. It concerns science,
sociology, economy and politics. Unfortunately, it became
entirely confined in politics which discovered its panic
generating quality. Now, panic is the strongest leverage in
political campaigns, driving bandwagon sheep to jump like
one yahoo into such precipices as may please the driver.
The discovery of GW as panic generating political leverage has
to be ascribed to Margaret Thatcher who did not care a button
about climate, but searched a ruse to suppress the revolt of
callously exploited coal miners. She suppressed it together
with the miners and the mines, to the advantage of the nuclear
which produces no CO2 and was supposed to cool down the planet.
Using it slickly and astutely in her wake, some Gore may get
Noble Price, some cunning politician may be elected as President.
With what impact on the GW and its sequels? Rigorously, NONE.
They don't care a damn about it, else than as the political
leverage and even if they cared, there is nothing, they could
Let's try to examine the problem coolly and logically.
GW has two kinds of causes: human and natural, the latter
earth bound and cosmic. Starting with natural, we observe
that GW happened several times in history as one of two
phases of a more general cyclic structure GW/GF (Global
Freezing). As it's easier to explicate separately GW and GF,
we shall start by it before moving to their more complex
cyclic reversion and succession. Historic cycles had clearly
natural causes, most of which are unexplained or unknown.
One, however, is rigorously, albeit only qualitatively known:
melting and re-freezing of glaciers and other ice caps.
We shall use it as a typical example of natural causes at
Earth surface encompasses white ice areas reflecting heat
radiated by the sun and other dark ones absorbing it. In the
steady state of ice/not-ice distribution and a constant amount
of radiated heat, the absorption to reflection ratio stays
constant and the climate does not change. Yet, the smallest
distortion may change this equilibrium.
Let's suppose that one year the sun emits more heat and then
returns to the constant yearly amount. The triggering change
warms up the earth more than usually, so that more ice melts.
Then, next year less heat is reflected and more absorbed, so
that still more ice melts and we enter the recursive chain
of the GW phase. Nothing seems to stay in the way of earth
losing all its ice caps and becoming a Sahara interspaced with
hot seas. Yet, each GW was followed by a GF, in turn by a GW,
Which natural mechanism may reverse GW into GF and vice versa?
There must be several, both earth bound and cosmic and mostly
unknown, but for our ice driven cycle the answer is clear:
Oceans are salted and salt waters freeze at lower temperature
than the sweet. Snows and ice melting copiously during the GW,
flood oceans with sweet water decreasing their salinity and
increasing their freezing temperature, so that over a threshold
they start to freeze again over larger surfaces and the phase
moves to GF and towards a new glacial period.
Pseudo-scientific committees commanded by politicians,
proclaimed that GW is caused with 80% certainty by human
actions, and reversible by their reversal.
1."Caused" should be replaced with "triggered". It's possible
that greenhouse triggered GW, as any tiny distortion could
disarrange the fragile unstable equilibrium. However, once
triggered and entered in the ice melting phase, GW is CAUSED
by ice melting. Similarly, a tour of pedals may push a bike
over the summit and TRIGGER its descent whose CAUSE, however,
is gravity, a natural agent.
2.Supposing that Greenhouse indeed triggered the GW, its
triggering effect loses all avail upon entering the ice
melting phase, which thrives by its own recursion and
certainly cannot be "un-triggered" by decreasing of emissions
nor even by their hypothetical total suspension. The pedals
might have triggered the descent, but you may turn them
backwards on your freewheel bike till you are blue in the
face. Gravity will not notice it and the descent will
continue undisturbed, just like the GW, unaffected by Kyoto
Protocols, by green presidential campaigns and by the
anti-American propaganda. Until the bike has passed the
valley and, always by natural causes, starts climbing the
opposite slope, or the GW phase switches, always by natural
causes, to the GF phase.
You may trigger an avalanche by pulling the trigger of your
gun, but you won't stop it by pushing back the trigger.
Which actions seem advisable in this light?
1.Dissociate GW from Pollution, a distinct, equally critical
problem, which should be investigated in its own context,
unaffected by political divagations about the GW.
2.Admit that GW is inevitable and start immediately to plan
actions aiming at saving millions endangered by inundations,
(expatriation, artificial islands, etc.) and other
sequels of the GW.
3.In order to concretize and to finance these actions, stop
subsidizing fraudulent and useless phantasms such as
intermittent energy sources (photo-voltaic and mainly the
wind mafia steeling heavy billions from the tax payers and
sharing them with corrupted politicians.)
Allegorically speaking, stop flagellating the sea with chains,
in the wake of Xerxes, while fattening chain manufacturers.